Nacional vs Leixoes Saturday 18th July 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Nacional Leixoes

Nacional L W L L W W

Leixoes W W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leixoes	Nacional	1 - 1	February 28, 2024
Nacional	Leixoes	3 - 1	August 28, 2023
Nacional	Leixoes	1 - 2	February 19, 2023
Leixoes	Nacional	3 - 0	August 28, 2022
Leixoes	Nacional	0 - 1	April 30, 2022
Nacional	Leixoes	2 - 0	December 18, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Machico	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Guimaraes	2 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Santa Clara	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	AVS	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Tondela	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Chaves	1 - 2	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Maritimo	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Portimonense	2 - 0	Win
Apr 20, 26	Away	FC Porto B	0 - 3	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Oliveirense	2 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Nacional has a 50.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.74 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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