Oxford United vs Crawley Town Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Oxford United Crawley Town

Oxford United L W L L W D

Crawley Town D D D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Crawley Town	Oxford United	1 - 4	November 12, 2019
Crawley Town	Oxford United	1 - 5	April 9, 2016
Oxford United	Crawley Town	1 - 1	August 8, 2015
Oxford United	Crawley Town	1 - 1	January 2, 2012
Crawley Town	Oxford United	4 - 1	November 19, 2011

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Millwall	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Sheffield Wednesday	4 - 1	Win
Apr 21, 26	Home	Wrexham	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Derby	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Watford	2 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Portsmouth	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Salford City	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Accrington ST	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Grimsby	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	Newport County	0 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Oxford United has a 53.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.73 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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