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Challenge Cup

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Queen of the South Annan Athletic
Queen of the South W L W L W L
Annan Athletic L W D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Annan Athletic Queen of the South 0 - 2 April 5, 2025
Queen of the South Annan Athletic 1 - 1 December 28, 2024
Annan Athletic Queen of the South 1 - 0 October 26, 2024
Queen of the South Annan Athletic 2 - 0 August 17, 2024
Annan Athletic Queen of the South 2 - 1 March 9, 2024
Queen of the South Annan Athletic 2 - 1 December 30, 2023

Queen of the South Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Airdrie United 2 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Montrose 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 25, 26 Home Hibernian U21 1 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Cumbernauld Colts 4 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Peterhead 0 - 1 Loss

Annan Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Dumbarton 2 - 0 Win
Aug 25, 26 Home Berwick Rangers 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Edinburgh City 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Clyde 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Away Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that both Queen of the South and Annan Athletic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Queen of the South to win
This prediction indicates that Queen of the South has a 52.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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