Stoke City vs Everton Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Stoke City Everton

Stoke City L L L L L D

Everton L L D D L L

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stoke City	Everton	0 - 1	July 29, 2023
Stoke City	Everton	1 - 2	March 17, 2018
Everton	Stoke City	1 - 0	August 12, 2017
Stoke City	Everton	1 - 1	February 1, 2017
Everton	Stoke City	1 - 0	August 27, 2016
Stoke City	Everton	0 - 3	February 6, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	SC Braga	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Bristol City	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Portsmouth	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Millwall	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Wrexham	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Blackburn	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Tottenham	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Sunderland	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	2 - 2	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Manchester City	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	West Ham	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Liverpool	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Everton has a 44.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.70 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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