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Friendlies Clubs logo

Friendlies Clubs
União de Leiria logo União de Leiria
July 15, 2026 1 day, 8 hours from now VS
AD Marco 09 logo AD Marco 09

Match Analysis

União de Leiria AD Marco 09
União de Leiria L D L L L W
AD Marco 09 D W W D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

União de Leiria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Home Alverca 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Feirense 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Vizela 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Farense 0 - 3 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Felgueiras 1932 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Penafiel 4 - 2 Win

AD Marco 09 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 3, 26 Away Paredes 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home SC Braga B 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Fafe 1 - 0 Win
Apr 12, 26 Away São João Ver 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 21, 26 Home Sanjoanense 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 15, 26 Away Fafe 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

União de Leiria to win
This prediction indicates that União de Leiria has a 48.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.96 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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