Hereford vs Shrewsbury Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hereford Shrewsbury

Hereford D D W W L D

Shrewsbury L D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hereford	Shrewsbury	1 - 2	July 20, 2021

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Hereford Pegasus	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Peterborough Sports	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	Marine	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Radcliffe	3 - 1	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Bedford Town	2 - 2	Draw

Shrewsbury Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Gillingham	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Crawley Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Oldham	1 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Away	Bromley	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Tranmere	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.44% likelihood that both Hereford and Shrewsbury will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hereford to win

This prediction indicates that Hereford has a 43.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.25 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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