Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg Saturday 01st August 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam MSV Duisburg

Sparta Rotterdam W W L L D L

MSV Duisburg W W D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sparta Rotterdam Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Telstar	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	VOC	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Excelsior	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Twente	4 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	GO Ahead Eagles	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Away	Telstar	4 - 1	Loss

MSV Duisburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	FC OSS	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Erzgebirge AUE	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Energie Cottbus	2 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	Alemannia Aachen	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.94% likelihood that both Sparta Rotterdam and MSV Duisburg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Sparta Rotterdam to win

This prediction indicates that Sparta Rotterdam has a 54.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.06 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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