Helmond Sport vs St. Truiden Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Helmond Sport St. Truiden

Helmond Sport L D L L L W

St. Truiden W W W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
St. Truiden	Helmond Sport	0 - 2	July 14, 2023

Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	KVC Westerlo	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Away	Gemert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	AEK Larnaca	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Panathinaikos	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	VVV Venlo	2 - 0	Win

St. Truiden Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Patro Eisden	0 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Zepperen-Brustem	0 - 6	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Thes Sport	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	KV Mechelen	3 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Anderlecht	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Gent	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that both Helmond Sport and St. Truiden will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

St. Truiden to win

This prediction indicates that St. Truiden has a 62.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.90 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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