Cheltenham vs Milton Keynes Dons Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Cheltenham Milton Keynes Dons

Cheltenham L L L W W W

Milton Keynes Dons L W D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cheltenham	Milton Keynes Dons	2 - 3	February 7, 2026
Milton Keynes Dons	Cheltenham	5 - 0	August 16, 2025
Cheltenham	Milton Keynes Dons	0 - 1	March 22, 2025
Milton Keynes Dons	Cheltenham	3 - 2	November 16, 2024
Milton Keynes Dons	Cheltenham	2 - 2	April 15, 2023
Cheltenham	Milton Keynes Dons	0 - 0	October 29, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Colchester	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Tranmere	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Newport County	1 - 0	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Gillingham	2 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Walsall	0 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Istra 1961	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Fleetwood Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Tranmere	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Crewe	1 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Bromley	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Milton Keynes Dons has a 44.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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