Montpellier vs Rodez Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Montpellier Rodez

Montpellier W W D L W W

Rodez W W D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rodez	Montpellier	1 - 0	February 20, 2026
Montpellier	Rodez	2 - 0	October 31, 2025
Montpellier	Rodez	0 - 2	July 18, 2025
Montpellier	Rodez	5 - 0	December 16, 2022
Montpellier	Rodez	0 - 1	July 9, 2022
Montpellier	Rodez	1 - 0	July 14, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Le Puy Foot	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Aubagne	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	RED Star FC 93	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Clermont Foot	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Amiens	0 - 2	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	Grenoble	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Cannes	4 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	SC Bastia	5 - 3	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Saint Etienne	0 - 0	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	RED Star FC 93	2 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Annecy	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Saint Etienne	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Montpellier has a 40.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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