Empoli vs Spezia Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Empoli Spezia

Empoli D W L D L L

Spezia D D L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spezia	Empoli	1 - 1	March 17, 2026
Empoli	Spezia	1 - 1	September 14, 2025
Empoli	Spezia	2 - 0	July 26, 2024
Empoli	Spezia	2 - 2	February 11, 2023
Spezia	Empoli	1 - 0	August 14, 2022
Empoli	Spezia	0 - 0	April 9, 2022

Empoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Away	Monza	2 - 2	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Avellino	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Venezia	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Virtus Entella	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Padova	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Loss

Spezia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Away	Pescara	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Venezia	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Catanzaro	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Sudtirol	6 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Mantova	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Carrarese	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Empoli to win

This prediction indicates that Empoli has a 42.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.95 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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