Rio Ave vs Tondela Saturday 01st August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rio Ave Tondela

Rio Ave W W D L D L

Tondela W L W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tondela	Rio Ave	0 - 1	March 9, 2026
Rio Ave	Tondela	3 - 0	October 5, 2025
Rio Ave	Tondela	0 - 1	January 12, 2022
Rio Ave	Tondela	2 - 1	February 9, 2021
Tondela	Rio Ave	1 - 1	September 20, 2020
Tondela	Rio Ave	1 - 2	February 22, 2020

Rio Ave Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Portimonense	0 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Arouca	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Sporting CP	1 - 4	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	GIL Vicente	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Guimaraes	2 - 0	Loss

Tondela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Varzim	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Arouca	3 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Moreirense	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Win
Apr 29, 26	Away	Sporting CP	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Nacional	0 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Rio Ave to win

This prediction indicates that Rio Ave has a 49.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.47 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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