Worthing vs Horsham Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Worthing Horsham

Worthing D W W L W W

Horsham W W L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Worthing	Horsham	1 - 1	January 17, 2026
Horsham	Worthing	3 - 4	August 16, 2025
Horsham	Worthing	0 - 3	July 29, 2023

Worthing Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	AFC Bournemouth U21	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Selsey	0 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maidstone Utd	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	7 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Dorking Wanderers	1 - 2	Win

Horsham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Eastleigh	3 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Chippenham Town	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Salisbury	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Away	Farnborough	2 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.07% likelihood that both Worthing and Horsham will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Worthing to win

This prediction indicates that Worthing has a 65.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.20 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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