Stevenage vs Colchester Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Stevenage Colchester

Stevenage L L W D W D

Colchester W D W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stevenage	Colchester	1 - 1	July 18, 2023
Stevenage	Colchester	1 - 1	April 7, 2023
Colchester	Stevenage	1 - 1	October 29, 2022
Colchester	Stevenage	0 - 2	April 9, 2022
Stevenage	Colchester	1 - 0	November 20, 2021
Stevenage	Colchester	0 - 0	January 26, 2021

Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 13, 26	Away	Stockport County	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Stockport County	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Wigan	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Doncaster	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	Barnsley	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Lincoln	2 - 2	Draw

Colchester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Heybridge Swifts	0 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Norwich	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Notts County	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Stevenage to win

This prediction indicates that Stevenage has a 43.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.73 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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