Bognor Regis Town vs Chichester City Saturday 01st August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Bognor Regis Town Chichester City

Bognor Regis Town W L L W L W

Chichester City L D W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chichester City	Bognor Regis Town	0 - 2	August 1, 2025
Bognor Regis Town	Chichester City	4 - 1	July 29, 2023
Bognor Regis Town	Chichester City	3 - 0	August 9, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Fareham Town	3 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dorking Wanderers	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 17, 25	Away	Hackney Wick	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 25	Away	Chichester City	0 - 2	Win
Sep 14, 24	Home	Margate	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	Aylesbury Vale Dynamos	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 25	Home	Whitstable Town	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Away	Whitstable Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Havant & Wville	0 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 25	Home	Bognor Regis Town	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Gosport Borough	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 25	Home	Christchurch United	1 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Bognor Regis Town has a 43.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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