Burgos vs Athletic Club Saturday 01st August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Burgos Athletic Club

Burgos W W W D D D

Athletic Club W L D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Burgos	Athletic Club	2 - 1	July 20, 2024
Burgos	Athletic Club	0 - 3	December 15, 2022

Burgos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	FC Andorra	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Cultural Leonesa	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Granada CF	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Almeria	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Real Sociedad II	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Deportivo La Coruna	1 - 1	Draw

Athletic Club Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Derio	0 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Real Madrid	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Espanyol	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Valencia	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Alaves	2 - 4	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Athletic Club to win

This prediction indicates that Athletic Club has a 45.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.13 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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