Southport vs Fleetwood Town Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Southport Fleetwood Town

Southport W L L L W W

Fleetwood Town D D D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fleetwood Town	Southport	1 - 1	November 15, 2016
Southport	Fleetwood Town	0 - 0	November 7, 2016
Southport	Fleetwood Town	0 - 6	January 1, 2012
Fleetwood Town	Southport	2 - 2	December 26, 2011

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	AFC Telford United	2 - 0	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Macclesfield	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	AFC Fylde	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Leamington	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Curzon Ashton	1 - 3	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Marine	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Shrewsbury	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Accrington ST	1 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Barnet	2 - 5	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Fleetwood Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Southport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Fleetwood Town has a 37.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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