Evesham United vs Cheltenham Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Evesham United Cheltenham

Evesham United L W D W L L

Cheltenham L L L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Evesham United	Cheltenham	1 - 4	July 11, 2025
Evesham United	Cheltenham	0 - 3	July 12, 2024
Evesham United	Cheltenham	2 - 4	July 8, 2023
Evesham United	Cheltenham	0 - 4	July 2, 2022
Evesham United	Cheltenham	0 - 3	July 13, 2021

Evesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 27, 25	Away	AFC Telford United	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 16, 25	Home	Racing Club Warwick	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Racing Club Warwick	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Home	Bromsgrove Sporting	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 25	Home	Cheltenham	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 6, 24	Away	Newcastle Town	3 - 2	Loss

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Colchester	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Tranmere	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Newport County	1 - 0	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Gillingham	2 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Walsall	0 - 4	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that both Evesham United and Cheltenham will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cheltenham to win

This prediction indicates that Cheltenham has a 41.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.45 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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