Basford United vs Gainsborough Trinity Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Basford United Gainsborough Trinity

Basford United D W L W W L

Gainsborough Trinity D W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Basford United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	AFC Mansfield	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	Lincoln United	4 - 3	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Hednesford Town	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Home	Hucknall Town	5 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 25	Home	Matlock Town	4 - 3	Win
Sep 14, 24	Away	Worksop Town	6 - 3	Loss

Gainsborough Trinity Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 2, 25	Home	Accrington ST	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 14, 25	Away	Hartlepool	1 - 3	Win
Oct 11, 25	Home	Hartlepool	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 27, 25	Away	Dunston UTS	1 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 25	Home	Rushall Olympic	2 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Corby Town	1 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.05% likelihood that both Basford United and Gainsborough Trinity will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Basford United or Gainsborough Trinity to win

This prediction indicates that Gainsborough Trinity has a 40.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.73 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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