Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bristol Rovers Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers D W W W W W

Portsmouth D W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bristol Rovers	Portsmouth	2 - 1	December 26, 2023
Portsmouth	Bristol Rovers	1 - 1	August 5, 2023
Bristol Rovers	Portsmouth	0 - 2	March 18, 2023
Portsmouth	Bristol Rovers	3 - 1	August 20, 2022
Portsmouth	Bristol Rovers	1 - 0	April 24, 2021
Bristol Rovers	Portsmouth	3 - 1	February 16, 2021

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Notts County	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Cheltenham	4 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Tranmere	1 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Crawley Town	3 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	2 - 3	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	1 - 0	Win

Portsmouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Birmingham	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Stoke City	1 - 3	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Coventry	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Leicester	1 - 0	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Ipswich	2 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Middlesbrough	0 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Portsmouth to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Portsmouth has a 41.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.79 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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