Famalicao vs Penafiel Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Famalicao Penafiel

Famalicao W D D W D D

Penafiel L W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Famalicao	Penafiel	3 - 1	July 24, 2024
Famalicao	Penafiel	5 - 0	September 22, 2021
Penafiel	Famalicao	1 - 2	January 28, 2019
Famalicao	Penafiel	2 - 0	August 19, 2018
Famalicao	Penafiel	1 - 2	January 21, 2018
Penafiel	Famalicao	1 - 1	August 13, 2017

Famalicao Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Estrela	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Benfica	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Estoril	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Home	Moreirense	1 - 1	Draw

Penafiel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Pacos Ferreira	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Maritimo	1 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Torreense	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Porto B	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	União de Leiria	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Academico Viseu	4 - 3	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Penafiel	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Famalicao to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Famalicao has a 42.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.45 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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