Truro City vs Exeter City Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Truro City Exeter City

Truro City W L L D L D

Exeter City L D D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Exeter City	Truro City	3 - 0	July 12, 2022
Truro City	Exeter City	1 - 0	August 3, 2021
Exeter City	Truro City	3 - 2	August 28, 2020

Truro City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aldershot Town	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Carlisle	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Boston United	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Forest Green	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	0 - 0	Draw

Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Bradford	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Burton Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Stockport County	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Plymouth	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Home	Doncaster	3 - 0	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Blackpool	1 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Exeter City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Truro City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Exeter City to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Exeter City has a 37.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.78 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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