Phönix Lübeck vs Greifswalder FC Saturday 18th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Phönix Lübeck Greifswalder FC

Phönix Lübeck D W D W W L

Greifswalder FC L D W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Phönix Lübeck	Greifswalder FC	1 - 1	July 13, 2024

Phönix Lübeck Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	BFC Dynamo	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 22, 26	Away	VfR Neumünster	0 - 5	Win
Feb 20, 26	Away	B 93	3 - 3	Draw
Feb 13, 26	Away	Werder Bremen II	2 - 3	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	Siedenbollentin	6 - 0	Win
Jul 20, 25	Away	Hansa Rostock	6 - 0	Loss

Greifswalder FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 26	Away	VfB Lubeck	3 - 1	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Home	Flota Świnoujście	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 25	Home	VfB Lubeck	3 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 25	Away	Energie Cottbus	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Home	Hansa Rostock	2 - 3	Loss
Jan 22, 25	Away	VfB Lubeck	4 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
270	Phönix Lübeck	4	3	1	0	17	5	+12	10
1600	Greifswalder FC	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.38% likelihood that both Phönix Lübeck and Greifswalder FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Phönix Lübeck to win

This prediction indicates that Phönix Lübeck has a 62.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.40 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 75.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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