Naestved vs HB Koge Saturday 18th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Naestved HB Koge

Naestved L W L W L L

HB Koge L L L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Naestved	HB Koge	1 - 1	January 16, 2026
HB Koge	Naestved	4 - 0	December 4, 2025
HB Koge	Naestved	1 - 0	May 26, 2024
Naestved	HB Koge	2 - 1	April 7, 2024
HB Koge	Naestved	3 - 2	October 22, 2023
Naestved	HB Koge	3 - 3	September 4, 2023

Naestved Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vendsyssel FF	4 - 2	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	AB Copenhagen	4 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Thisted FC	0 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Roskilde	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	HIK	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Vendsyssel FF	1 - 3	Loss

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Aalborg	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Hobro	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Middelfart	0 - 4	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Aarhus Fremad	0 - 0	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	B 93	3 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
235	Naestved	10	2	6	2	14	15	-1	12
307	HB Koge	7	2	4	1	16	13	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that both Naestved and HB Koge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

HB Koge to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that HB Koge has a 36.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.46 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed