Lorient vs Nantes Saturday 18th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lorient Nantes

Lorient L W D L W L

Nantes D L W L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lorient	Nantes	2 - 1	January 31, 2026
Nantes	Lorient	1 - 1	November 23, 2025
Nantes	Lorient	1 - 1	August 7, 2024
Lorient	Nantes	0 - 1	February 24, 2024
Nantes	Lorient	5 - 3	September 23, 2023
Lorient	Nantes	3 - 1	August 2, 2023

Lorient Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	LE Havre	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Metz	0 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Strasbourg	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Marseille	2 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Lyon	2 - 0	Loss

Nantes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Toulouse	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Lens	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Marseille	3 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Rennes	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Lorient to win

This prediction indicates that Lorient has a 46.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.76 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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