FC Aarau vs Union Berlin Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Aarau Union Berlin

FC Aarau L D D D W W

Union Berlin W W D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Home	St. Gallen II	1 - 3	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Stade Nyonnais	5 - 1	Win

Union Berlin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	FC Augsburg	4 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	1.FC Köln	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	3 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1131	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
1321	FC Aarau	4	1	0	3	8	12	-4	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that both FC Aarau and Union Berlin will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Union Berlin to win

This prediction indicates that Union Berlin has a 47.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.97 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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