Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia Saturday 18th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Esbjerg FC Fredericia

Esbjerg D W W D W L

FC Fredericia W W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Fredericia	Esbjerg	1 - 1	April 27, 2025
Esbjerg	FC Fredericia	0 - 2	April 22, 2025
Esbjerg	FC Fredericia	0 - 3	October 19, 2024
FC Fredericia	Esbjerg	4 - 0	August 11, 2024
Esbjerg	FC Fredericia	2 - 2	July 13, 2024
Esbjerg	FC Fredericia	1 - 2	October 23, 2021

Esbjerg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vejle	3 - 3	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lyngby	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Hillerød	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Kolding IF	3 - 0	Win
Apr 30, 26	Home	AC Horsens	0 - 1	Loss

FC Fredericia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Silkeborg	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Silkeborg	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Vejle	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Copenhagen	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Odense	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Away	Randers FC	2 - 2	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
163	FC Fredericia	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
735	Esbjerg	7	1	3	3	13	14	-1	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that both Esbjerg and FC Fredericia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Fredericia to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Fredericia has a 37.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.78 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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