BSC Young Boys vs Étoile Carouge Saturday 18th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

BSC Young Boys Étoile Carouge

BSC Young Boys D D W W L L

Étoile Carouge L L D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

BSC Young Boys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	FC Sion	3 - 3	Draw
May 14, 26	Away	FC Thun	3 - 8	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	3 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	FC Lugano	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 2	Loss

Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Home	Grand-Saconnex	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	FC Sion	7 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Bellinzona	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Yverdon Sport	3 - 5	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1359	Étoile Carouge	3	1	0	2	3	9	-6	3
1652	BSC Young Boys	3	0	1	2	0	5	-5	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.61% likelihood that both BSC Young Boys and Étoile Carouge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

BSC Young Boys to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that BSC Young Boys has a 36.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.28 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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