Thionville Lusitanos vs Nancy Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Thionville Lusitanos Nancy

Thionville Lusitanos L D D W W L

Nancy W W D L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nancy	Thionville Lusitanos	1 - 0	July 31, 2024

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 15, 25	Away	Racing Besançon	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Home	Progres Niederkorn	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 22, 24	Home	Valenciennes	2 - 2	Draw
Nov 30, 24	Away	Etoile Matoury	0 - 2	Win
Nov 16, 24	Away	Boulay	0 - 3	Win
Jul 31, 24	Away	Nancy	1 - 0	Loss

Nancy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 9, 26	Home	Dunkerque	3 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	PAU	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Reims	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	Annecy	1 - 5	Loss
Apr 10, 26	Away	Clermont Foot	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Saint Etienne	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1677	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1677	Thionville Lusitanos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Nancy to win

This prediction indicates that Nancy has a 44.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.26 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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