FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos Saturday 01st August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 II Thionville Lusitanos

FSV Mainz 05 II W W W D W L

Thionville Lusitanos W W L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FSV Mainz 05 II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Rot-weiss Erfurt	0 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Gau-Odernheim	0 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Progres Niederkorn	1 - 0	Win
Feb 14, 26	Home	FC Astoria Walldorf	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Home	Darmstadt 98 II	6 - 0	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Kickers Offenbach	1 - 0	Loss

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Progres Niederkorn	0 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	RM Hamm Benfica	0 - 4	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Racing Besançon	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Home	Progres Niederkorn	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 22, 24	Home	Valenciennes	2 - 2	Draw
Nov 30, 24	Away	Etoile Matoury	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.95% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 II and Thionville Lusitanos will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 II to win

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 II has a 45.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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