Groene Ster vs Roda Saturday 01st August 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Groene Ster Roda

Groene Ster L D D L L W

Roda W L D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Groene Ster	Roda	0 - 3	July 6, 2024
Groene Ster	Roda	0 - 4	July 8, 2023

Groene Ster Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	AS Eupen	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 24, 25	Home	SC Genemuiden	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 3, 25	Away	Heino	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 6, 24	Home	Roda	0 - 3	Loss
Oct 31, 23	Home	Vitesse	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 20, 23	Home	Kozakken Boys	1 - 0	Win

Roda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Beerschot Wilrijk	1 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Cambuur	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Vitesse	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	Chevremont	0 - 10	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Waalwijk	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	Waalwijk	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.5% likelihood that both Groene Ster and Roda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Groene Ster or Roda to win

This prediction indicates that Groene Ster has a 37.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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