Avispa Fukuoka vs Kitakyushu Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Avispa Fukuoka Kitakyushu

Avispa Fukuoka W D L D D D

Kitakyushu D L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Avispa Fukuoka	Kitakyushu	0 - 0	July 16, 2025
Avispa Fukuoka	Kitakyushu	2 - 0	October 4, 2020
Kitakyushu	Avispa Fukuoka	0 - 1	February 23, 2020
Avispa Fukuoka	Kitakyushu	4 - 2	July 8, 2015
Kitakyushu	Avispa Fukuoka	0 - 1	April 19, 2015
Kitakyushu	Avispa Fukuoka	3 - 5	September 6, 2014

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	JEF United Chiba	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Tochigi SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Kamatamare Sanuki	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Kagoshima United	1 - 5	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Biwako Shiga	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Gainare Tottori	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Roasso Kumamoto	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Avispa Fukuoka has a 62.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.19 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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