Gagra vs FC Urartu Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Gagra FC Urartu

Gagra D D W W W L

FC Urartu L L L L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Home	Samgurali	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 18, 26	Away	Meshakhte	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Dila	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 0	Loss

FC Urartu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 12, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	3 - 1	Loss
Feb 8, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	3 - 2	Loss
Jan 30, 26	Away	Uzbekistan	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 25	Away	Neman	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 25	Home	Neman	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 11, 25	Home	Hangzhou Greentown	4 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.62% likelihood that both Gagra and FC Urartu will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Gagra to win

This prediction indicates that Gagra has a 43.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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