Long Eaton United vs Redditch United Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Long Eaton United Redditch United

Long Eaton United L W L L W L

Redditch United W L W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Long Eaton United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Home	Kettering Town	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Away	Hinckley AFC	0 - 3	Win
Jul 26, 25	Home	Rushall Olympic	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	Newcastle Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Home	Boston Town	3 - 2	Win
Aug 3, 24	Away	Belper Town	4 - 1	Loss

Redditch United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Evesham United	1 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Buxton	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Home	Skegness Town	5 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 25	Home	Anstey Nomads	4 - 0	Win
Sep 16, 24	Home	Shifnal Town FC	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 14, 24	Away	Shifnal Town FC	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.45% likelihood that both Long Eaton United and Redditch United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Long Eaton United to win

This prediction indicates that Long Eaton United has a 45.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.98 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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