AFC Wimbledon vs Charlton Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

AFC Wimbledon Charlton

AFC Wimbledon L W L L L L

Charlton D W L W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AFC Wimbledon	Charlton	2 - 0	July 27, 2024
AFC Wimbledon	Charlton	1 - 1	April 5, 2022
Charlton	AFC Wimbledon	3 - 2	February 5, 2022
Charlton	AFC Wimbledon	0 - 1	August 10, 2021
AFC Wimbledon	Charlton	2 - 2	March 20, 2021
Charlton	AFC Wimbledon	5 - 2	December 12, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Huddersfield	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Wigan	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Plymouth	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 15, 26	Home	Stockport County	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Burton Albion	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Luton	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Maribor	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Dartford	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Swansea	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Hull City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Ipswich	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Sheffield Wednesday	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that AFC Wimbledon has a 35.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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