Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg Saturday 25th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld MSV Duisburg

Arminia Bielefeld W W W L D W

MSV Duisburg W D D W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Arminia Bielefeld	MSV Duisburg	2 - 0	March 31, 2024
MSV Duisburg	Arminia Bielefeld	0 - 1	October 21, 2023
Arminia Bielefeld	MSV Duisburg	3 - 2	September 2, 2020
MSV Duisburg	Arminia Bielefeld	2 - 2	April 29, 2019
Arminia Bielefeld	MSV Duisburg	0 - 1	November 23, 2018
Arminia Bielefeld	MSV Duisburg	0 - 3	October 31, 2018

Arminia Bielefeld Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	FC Gutersloh	0 - 3	Win
Jul 2, 26	Away	Peckeloh	3 - 7	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Hertha BSC	6 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Away	FC Kaiserslautern	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Preußen Münster	2 - 3	Win

MSV Duisburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FC Viktoria Köln	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Erzgebirge AUE	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Energie Cottbus	2 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	Alemannia Aachen	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Hoffenheim II	3 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.7% likelihood that both Arminia Bielefeld and MSV Duisburg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Arminia Bielefeld to win

This prediction indicates that Arminia Bielefeld has a 57.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.48 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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