Bełchatów vs Polonia Nysa Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bełchatów Polonia Nysa

Bełchatów W L D L L D

Polonia Nysa W L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Bełchatów Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 31, 26	Away	Star Starachowice	2 - 4	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	SKRA Częstochowa	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Away	Star Starachowice	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 15, 25	Away	Polonia Bytom	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 8, 25	Home	Kalisz	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 1, 25	Home	Pelikan Łowicz	3 - 3	Draw

Polonia Nysa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Carina Gubin	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Sparta Katowice	2 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Lechia Zielona Góra	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Warta Gorzów	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	SKRA Częstochowa	2 - 3	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.47% likelihood that both Bełchatów and Polonia Nysa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bełchatów or Polonia Nysa to win

This prediction indicates that Bełchatów has a 38.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.34 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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