Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon Saturday 25th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Celta Vigo Sporting Gijon

Celta Vigo W D L W W L

Sporting Gijon W W W L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Celta Vigo	Sporting Gijon	2 - 1	July 23, 2024
Sporting Gijon	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	February 26, 2017
Celta Vigo	Sporting Gijon	2 - 1	September 21, 2016
Sporting Gijon	Celta Vigo	0 - 1	April 10, 2016
Celta Vigo	Sporting Gijon	2 - 1	November 28, 2015

Celta Vigo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Sevilla	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Home	Levante	2 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Atletico Madrid	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Elche	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Villarreal	2 - 1	Loss

Sporting Gijon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Granada CF	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Almeria	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Zaragoza	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Malaga	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Cordoba	3 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that both Celta Vigo and Sporting Gijon will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Celta Vigo to win

This prediction indicates that Celta Vigo has a 63.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.83 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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