Dover vs Burgess Hill Town Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dover Burgess Hill Town

Dover W D L L L L

Burgess Hill Town L W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Dover Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Margate	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Chesham United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Farnborough	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Ebbsfleet United	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	0 - 2	Loss

Burgess Hill Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 25	Home	Farnham Town	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 25	Away	Wokingham Town	1 - 5	Win
Sep 14, 24	Home	Amersham Town	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Home	AFC Croydon Athletic	2 - 1	Win
Aug 17, 24	Home	Eastbourne Town	2 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 24	Away	Spelthorne Sports	0 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.79% likelihood that both Dover and Burgess Hill Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dover or Burgess Hill Town to win

This prediction indicates that Burgess Hill Town has a 41.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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