Excelsior Virton vs US Hostert Wednesday 22nd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Excelsior Virton US Hostert

Excelsior Virton L D W L L W

US Hostert L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Excelsior Virton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 25	Home	Beerschot Wilrijk	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 25	Home	Sporting Hasselt	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 17, 25	Home	Zwevegem Sport	5 - 1	Win
Aug 18, 24	Away	HO Kalken	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 10, 24	Away	RAAL La Louvière	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Home	UNFP	2 - 0	Win

US Hostert Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 24	Home	Swift Hesperange	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 20, 23	Home	Schifflange	3 - 7	Loss
Jul 16, 23	Away	AS Jeunesse Esch	5 - 0	Loss
Jan 28, 23	Away	FC 08 Homburg	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 7, 21	Home	Swift Hesperange	2 - 3	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that both Excelsior Virton and US Hostert will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Excelsior Virton to win

This prediction indicates that Excelsior Virton has a 63.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.72 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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