Famalicao vs Tondela Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Famalicao Tondela

Famalicao W D D W D D

Tondela L W W D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Famalicao	Tondela	3 - 0	January 25, 2026
Tondela	Famalicao	0 - 1	August 16, 2025
Famalicao	Tondela	0 - 0	December 9, 2022
Famalicao	Tondela	2 - 1	February 26, 2022
Tondela	Famalicao	3 - 2	September 25, 2021
Famalicao	Tondela	2 - 2	April 26, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Estrela	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Benfica	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Estoril	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Home	Moreirense	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Arouca	3 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Moreirense	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Win
Apr 29, 26	Away	Sporting CP	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Nacional	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	FC Porto	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Famalicao has a 64.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.09 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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