FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel Saturday 25th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 Holstein Kiel

FSV Mainz 05 W W L W L D

Holstein Kiel W L L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FSV Mainz 05	Holstein Kiel	1 - 1	April 5, 2025
Holstein Kiel	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 3	November 24, 2024
FSV Mainz 05	Holstein Kiel	2 - 2	October 24, 2017
Holstein Kiel	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 0	December 21, 2011

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Pfeddersheim	0 - 11	Win
May 16, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bayern München	3 - 4	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Borussia Monchengladbach	1 - 1	Draw

Holstein Kiel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Sonderjyske	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	FC Fredericia	1 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Dynamo Dresden	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Eintracht Braunschweig	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hertha BSC	0 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 to win

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 has a 60.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.36 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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