Girona vs Alaves Saturday 25th July 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Girona Alaves

Girona D L D D L L

Alaves L W W D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alaves	Girona	2 - 2	February 23, 2026
Girona	Alaves	1 - 0	November 8, 2025
Girona	Alaves	0 - 1	April 5, 2025
Alaves	Girona	0 - 1	January 11, 2025
Alaves	Girona	2 - 2	May 10, 2024
Girona	Alaves	3 - 0	December 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Elche	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Loss
May 14, 26	Home	Real Sociedad	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Mallorca	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Valencia	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Oviedo	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Barcelona	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Elche	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Athletic Club	2 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Mallorca	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Girona has a 37.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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