Moyola Park vs Crusaders FC Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Moyola Park Crusaders FC

Moyola Park L L L D D L

Crusaders FC W L W W W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Moyola Park Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 25	Home	Cliftonville FC	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 13, 24	Home	Coleraine FC	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 2, 24	Home	Linfield	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 23	Home	Ballyclare Comrades	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 10, 23	Away	Bangor	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 23, 22	Home	Dungannon Swifts	0 - 2	Loss

Crusaders FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 2	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Annagh United	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Away	Annagh United	2 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ballymena United	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Glenavon FC	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Portadown	4 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.71% likelihood that both Moyola Park and Crusaders FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Crusaders FC to win

This prediction indicates that Crusaders FC has a 45.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.81 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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