PSV Eindhoven vs Villarreal Saturday 25th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

PSV Eindhoven Villarreal

PSV Eindhoven D W W D W W

Villarreal W L L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
PSV Eindhoven	Villarreal	1 - 2	July 16, 2022

PSV Eindhoven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Antwerp	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Twente	5 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	GO Ahead Eagles	1 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Ajax	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 23, 26	Home	PEC Zwolle	6 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Sparta Rotterdam	0 - 2	Win

Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Atletico Madrid	5 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Rayo Vallecano	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Sevilla	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Mallorca	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Levante	5 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Celta Vigo	2 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.82% likelihood that both PSV Eindhoven and Villarreal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

PSV Eindhoven to win

This prediction indicates that PSV Eindhoven has a 64.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.71 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 71.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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