RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Saturday 25th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

RB Leipzig FC Ingolstadt 04

RB Leipzig L L W L W W

FC Ingolstadt 04 W W W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
RB Leipzig	FC Ingolstadt 04	0 - 0	April 29, 2017
FC Ingolstadt 04	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	December 10, 2016
FC Ingolstadt 04	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	May 17, 2015
RB Leipzig	FC Ingolstadt 04	0 - 1	December 7, 2014

RB Leipzig Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Mamelodi Sundowns	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	FC St. Pauli	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Bayer Leverkusen	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Union Berlin	3 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 - 3	Win

FC Ingolstadt 04 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Home	Lask Linz	2 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Eichstätt	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Waldhof Mannheim	5 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	TSV 1860 München	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Erzgebirge AUE	3 - 5	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hoffenheim II	0 - 3	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.26% likelihood that both RB Leipzig and FC Ingolstadt 04 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

RB Leipzig to win

This prediction indicates that RB Leipzig has a 73.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.15 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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