Swindon Town vs Bristol City Saturday 25th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Swindon Town Bristol City

Swindon Town W L L D L W

Bristol City W L D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bristol City	Swindon Town	7 - 1	July 18, 2023
Bristol City	Swindon Town	1 - 1	August 29, 2020
Bristol City	Swindon Town	3 - 0	April 7, 2015
Swindon Town	Bristol City	1 - 0	November 15, 2014
Bristol City	Swindon Town	0 - 0	March 15, 2014
Swindon Town	Bristol City	3 - 2	September 21, 2013

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Swindon Supermarine	4 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Grimsby	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Away	Colchester	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Walsall	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Stoke City	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Birmingham	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	Southampton	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Norwich	2 - 4	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	QPR	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Home	Sheffield Utd	1 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Swindon Town has a 38.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.73 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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