Tongeren vs Sporting Hasselt Saturday 25th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Tongeren Sporting Hasselt

Tongeren L L L L W W

Sporting Hasselt D W W L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Tongeren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 10, 25	Away	Erpe-Mere United	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 11, 24	Home	Kosova Schaerbeek	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 24	Away	Liège	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 9, 23	Home	Francs Borains	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 25, 23	Away	Dessel Sport	1 - 2	Win
Aug 20, 23	Home	Hades	2 - 1	Win

Sporting Hasselt Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 25	Away	Excelsior Virton	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 17, 25	Home	Hades	7 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	Heist	0 - 5	Win
Jun 28, 25	Home	St. Truiden	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 25, 24	Home	Thes Sport	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 18, 24	Away	La Calamine	1 - 6	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that both Tongeren and Sporting Hasselt will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Tongeren or Sporting Hasselt to win

This prediction indicates that Sporting Hasselt has a 43.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.58 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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