Valencia vs Castellón Saturday 25th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Valencia Castellón

Valencia W W D W L W

Castellón L D W W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Valencia	Castellón	1 - 2	July 19, 2025
Valencia	Castellón	0 - 0	July 20, 2024
Castellón	Valencia	1 - 0	August 3, 2022
Valencia	Castellón	1 - 0	August 22, 2020

Valencia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Barcelona	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Real Sociedad	3 - 4	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Atletico Madrid	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Girona	2 - 1	Win

Castellón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Almeria	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Almeria	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Eibar	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Huesca	0 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Cadiz	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that both Valencia and Castellón will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Valencia to win

This prediction indicates that Valencia has a 52.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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